Can Hogan’s Numbers Help Miller and Busch’s GOP Opponents?

Gov. Larry Hogan is doing well across the state of Maryland. Hogan is so strong that the Maryland GOP website reported that Hogan is beating Democrat Ben Jealous 57 to 28 percent in Mike Miller’s 27th District and has an unbelievable 71 to 21 percent lead over Jealous in Michael Busch’s District.

Since Hogan is dominating in their Districts could it transfer over to their local GOP opponents? It’s possible but I’m not sure about probable.

District 27th Senate Race

Sen. Mike Miller is being challenged by Republican Jesse Allan Peed. Of course Miller is loaded with cash as his Tuesday campaign finance report showed him with $665,000.

This is a rematch from 2014 where Peed got 37.4 percent of the vote and that was with Hogan only getting 52 percent of the vote against Anthony Brown. With Peed’s name ID from four years ago and with Hogan’s projected higher numbers, Peed should get at least 40 percent of the vote in 2018. The problem is that Peed doesn’t even have $665.00 in his account as his records only showed him with $482.01.

If Peed could raise a couple grand, maybe some of the statewide donors might consider sending money into Peed’s account. He obliviously won’t match Miller but $20,000 to $25,000 in the bank could help make Peed competitive.

District 30 A House of Delegates Race

Michael Busch is the Delegate in this district along with GOP Delegate Herb McMillan. There was some excitement for the GOP as former Congressional candidate Mark Plaster entered this race. Many dreamed of McMillan and Plaster knocking out Busch in this two-member district, but then McMillan decided not to seek re-election and Plaster dropped out of the race.

The dream scenario of taking Busch’s seat could turn into a GOP nightmare as McMillan’s vacant seat is in play for Democrat Alice Cain.

The good news is that Republican candidate Bob O’Shea has just under $20,000 in the bank compared to Cain’s $26,818 and Hogan’s endorsement and poll numbers should help O’Shea retain McMillan’s seat.

The wild card in this race is my friend and former colleague Chelsea Gill. She has little money compared to Busch who has over $253,000. It is a real David vs. Goliath battle, but Chelsea proved a lot of doubters wrong to win her primary. She also has the endorsement of Larry Hogan and I’m pulling for her.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *