Nawrocki Issues Statement on Bevins’ Vote on Responder Tax Credit

The Baltimore County Council voted to table Bill 56-18, which would provide police officers and other first responders with a tax credit. The vote went along party lines as Councilwoman Cathy Bevins and her Democratic colleagues voted to table the bill with a 4 to 3 vote.

Bevins’ November Republican opponent Ryan Nawrocki immediately released a statement attacking her decision.

“Why would our Councilwoman [Bevins]vote against a property tax credit for police officers and first responders? Violent crime was up 32 percent last year in our district and our Police, Firefighters and EMTs are working harder than ever.

“This vote is deeply troubling and shows a complete lack of support for our first responders.”

When council legislation is tabled, the bill is still alive and could be voted on again in the future. In most cases, changes need to be made for the bill to get an up or down vote.

I agree with Ryan Nawrocki that we need more police officers and that we need to incentive our first responders. After the incident at White Marsh Mall last weekend and the increased crime throughout our county, we need to hire more first responders. The tax credit can only help.

Simon Provides Cardin With Another Third Party Candidate to Split GOP Vote

Unaffiliated candidate Neil Simon has entered the U.S. Senate race and will probably take votes away from GOP nominee Tony Campbell.
-photo courtesy of NeilSimon.com-

When Sen. Ben Cardin ran for re-election in 2012, he faced multiple candidates in the General Election that year. That is common as there are usually Green Party, Libertarian and write-in candidates in the race but there was an unaffiliated candidate that year by the name of Rob Sobhani.

Dan Bongino was the Republican nominee and Sobhani took some of  Bongino’s votes as he received 16.5 percent and Bongino took around 26 percent. Cardin still got 56 percent of the vote that year but Republicans were still irked that Sobhani took votes away from Bongino.

For the first time in six years, Cardin is up for re-election. It also appears that a third-party candidate by the name of Neil Simon is this year’s Rob Sobhani.

Republican Senate nominee Tony Campbell is furious that Simon got on the ballot and I can’t blame Campbell. Simon went around the state and collected enough signatures to get on the ballot.

“It is interesting how every time Ben Cardin runs for re-election there is a wealthy Montgomery County “independent moderate” who decides to spend millions of dollars on a third party run to divide the anti-Cardin vote and ensure Cardin’s victory.” Campbell wrote on his Campbell4Maryland Facebook page.

Simon appears to be a serious candidate as campaign finance reports showed him with over $20,000  so far. Simon bought a local ad in my hometown paper the East County Times last week and his team called my house for internal polling. I’m sure he has bought ads in local newspapers throughout the state. He claims on his website that he is going to run TV ads.

According to his website, Simon does not take a real stance on any issues. Some of his principles include; putting country before party and using common sense to find common ground to solve problems. That sounds like every politician but he does not address any hot button issues on his website.

As a conservative, I want Ben Cardin to be defeated. If Neil Simon feels the same way and really wanted to give Cardin a serious battle, then why didn’t he enter the Republican primary to get a potential one-on-one contest with Cardin?

I am very angry as Simon is going to take votes away from Campbell too but Simon will not get enough votes to beat Cardin.

During the Simon phone call, I told his volunteer that I was voting for Tony Campbell and that a third-party can’t win and they really can’t win. All that a third-party candidate does is split the vote.

If Donald Trump has taught us anything (Libertarian Ron Paul tried before as a Republican and Green Party member Bernie Sanders tried as a Democrat) third-party candidates need to control one of the two major parties to have success in the General. I wish we had a three and maybe a four-party system but we do not.

So is Simon really trying to beat Cardin or is he trying to help Cardin by splitting the vote? By the way, whatever happened to Rob Sobhani?

Breaking Down The Baltimore County Council Races

Likely RepublicanLeaning RepublicanToss UpLeaning DemocratLikely Democrat
Kach 3-RBevins 6-DQuirk 1-DOpen 2-D (Patoka-D)
Marks 5-RJones 4-D (unopposed)
Crandell 7-R

Here is my breakdown of the County Council races in Baltimore County. I don’t believe there is too much excitement except for one race (District 6). With the Democrats currently holding a 4 to 3 majority, that one race is a key factor in the future of the county. Here are how the races look in my opinion

 

Likely Republican

Councilmen David Marks (R-5) and Todd Crandell (R-7) easily won their primaries with over 80 percent of the vote. While their numbers won’t be as high in the General Election against their Democratic opponents, they should get at least 60 to maybe 70 percent of the vote. Although Councilman Wade Kach (R-3) had a narrow primary win, he should have a bigger General Election win than Marks and Crandell since District 3 is more favorable to Republicans.

Likely Democrat

Julian Jones (D-4) is unopposed in the General Election so he was considered re-elected after his primary win.

Izzy Patoka (D-2) is going after Vicky Almond’s old seat and she is in a good shape against Republican Mike Lee. I met Lee and he seems like a good candidate but has a tough road ahead. If Lee can gain some traction, I might be able to put this into the “Leaning Democrat” column in the next few months.

Leaning Democrat

I think Councilman Tom Quirk is okay right now in July as he seeks re-election against Republican challenge Al Nalley in a rematch from 2014. Quirk has an advantage because he was scheduled to face Republican Pete Melcavage, but Melcavage dropped out of the race and Nalley was named as a last-minute replacement. On the other hand, there is going to be a Republican wave in southwestern Baltimore County with Gov. Larry Hogan and a strong Republican ticket in State Legislative District 12 race. That could help Nalley. Also, Nalley has name ID as he was able to pick up 39 percent of the vote in 2014 against Quirk. This race could slip into “Toss-Up” before November.

 

Toss-Up

Obviously, Councilwoman Cathy Bevins (D-6) is going to have a battle with Republican challenger Ryan Nawrocki in a rematch from 2010. Bevins is in a strong Republican district and Nawrocki must get all the Deb Sullivan, Erik Lofstad, Allen Robertson and Glen Geelhaar supporters on his side for November. If the other six council races go as expected, this race will decide the balance of the county council.

My Campaign Is Over; Time to Help GOP Candidates

My campaign for the House of Delegates in District 8 came to an end on June 26. I want to thank all 1,244 people that voted for myself in the primary, but it was well short of my goal.

Congratulations to Joe Cluster, Joe Boteler and Joe Norman on securing the top three spots and hopefully you three gentlemen will be able to finally sweep the district (along with Christian Miele in the Senate). Again I ran in this race to make sure the Republican Party had three strong candidates for the House of Delegates, whether it was myself or three other candidates.

Now that my race is over, I’m going to help promote Republican candidates here in Baltimore County. We all know we have a great opportunity to re-elect Gov. Larry Hogan and pick up some seats in the House and Senate, but we have opportunities in Baltimore County.

Al Redmer, Jr. has an excellent chance to become our next Baltimore County Executive. Also, Ryan Nawrocki has a very strong shot to become our next county councilman in District 6, which would give Republicans a chance to control the county 4 to 3 with a Republican County Executive.

I will have more on these races in the next few weeks and months.